By RAPHAEL MINDER
After all, Palex, based in Barcelona ,
receives about 90 percent of its $150 million of annual revenue from customers
in the rest of Spain.
Yet on Tuesday Mr.
Carbonell joined hundreds of thousands of fellow Catalans in central Barcelona demanding Catalonia ’s
independence from the rest of Spain
— even though that demand could make Catalonia
vulnerable to retaliatory measures, possibly even a Madrid-led popular boycott
of Catalan goods. But Mr. Carbonell said such “short-term risks” were secondary
to more fundamental economic and political principles.
“A people has the right
to manage itself, its resources and its money,” he said.
Even as the Spanish
government of Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy finds itself on the front lines of
the euro debt crisis, Catalonia
has thrust itself to the fore of Mr. Rajoy’s domestic challenges. Catalonia is so heavily in debt that it recently asked
for a emergency loan of €5 billion, or $6.47 billion, from Madrid . But here in this region with its own
language and sense of identity, the financial crisis has also brought
longstanding cultural and economic resentments to a boil.
Catalan society remains
divided over whether the breakaway demands should be limited to fiscal
sovereignty from Madrid
or go beyond that. Despite the unprecedented turnout at Tuesday’s rally, recent
opinion polls show that only a thin majority of Catalans favors full
independence. But Mr. Carbonell’s aspirations reflect the extent to which
separatism has recently shifted from fringe to mainstream thinking among both
the politicians and business leaders of Spain ’s most economically powerful
region, which accounts for almost one-fifth of the country’s economic output.
And that in turn
presents yet another significant challenge for Mr. Rajoy, whose relationship
with Spain ’s regions has
already been strained by the crisis and his insistence that support for Catalonia and other
heavily indebted regions requires greater regional fiscal discipline.
Catalan politicians
acknowledge that the separatist push could not have come at a more awkward
moment for Mr. Rajoy, as he also faces external pressure to decide whether Spain should
seek further European financial assistance through the new bond-buying program
agreed last week by the European Central Bank.
“A major economic crisis
unfortunately tends to bring to the surface all sorts of issues at the same
time,” said Rocío Martínez-Sampere, a Socialist lawmaker in Catalonia ’s regional Parliament.
Even if the concept of
Catalan independence remains ill defined, Josep Ramoneda, a Catalan philosopher
and writer, suggested that it was in fact “the only real political project in Spain at this
moment.”
“In a crisis,’ he added,
“people need to hold on to some positive vision of the future and not just
worry every morning about how high the debt risk premium is.”
Mr. Rajoy, meanwhile,
has tried to circumvent the Catalan challenge by calling for national unity. On
Tuesday, he urged regions instead to close ranks and focus on together pulling
the economy out of recession.
With a €200 billion
economy roughly the size of Portugal ’s,
Catalonia and
its 7.5 million inhabitants — 16 percent of the Spanish population — have long
been one of the country’s main economic engines. The region blends a powerful
financial services sector, led by the big bank La Caixa, with a strong
industrial base that includes traditional sectors like textiles and car
manufacturing (Nissan and Volkswagen have factories near Barcelona), as well as
biotechnology companies like Grifols, a developer of products based on blood
plasma.
Officials in Madrid like to point out that it was central government
financing of the 1992 Olympics that helped raise Barcelona ’s
global profile, transforming it into one of Europe ’s
most visited cities, with about 9 million tourists a year, compared with 1
million before the Games. The metropolitan area’s commercial allure is now such
that local authorities last week were able to announce a private developer’s
plans for a new €4.8 billion gaming and leisure resort called Barcelona World,
to be located 120 kilometers, or 75 miles, south of the capital, near Tarragona , on land owned
by La Caixa.
The financial crisis, however, has
revealed that Catalonia ,
like many other regions, has badly managed its public accounts. Mr. Rajoy has
blamed the nation’s indebted regions for two-thirds of last year’s fiscal
shortfall that has forced Spain
to miss budget-balancing targets it had agreed to under its euro zone
obligations.
Of total debt of €140 billion among Spain ’s 17 regional governments, Catalonia owes the
biggest amount: €42 billion. It is in such trouble that it can no longer borrow
in the financial markets, which is why Catalonia
has had to ask the Rajoy government for emergency financing.
In some respects, Catalonia has continued
to outperform the nation as a whole. Against a national unemployment rate of
24.6 percent, Catalan joblessness is marginally better, at just below 22
percent. And many Catalans have concluded that their recovery prospects would
be enhanced by loosening or breaking ties with the rest of recession-plagued Spain .
“Until the crisis, many
people here saw the advantages of being part of a dynamic Spanish economy, but
now all we see is a falling economy run by Madrid politicians who are making it
worse,” said Salvador García Ruiz, one of the founders of Collectiu Emma, an
association promoting Catalan interests. While he acknowledged that Catalan
politicians had also overspent and in some cases were caught up in corruption scandals,
“at least they are our own, and a people should have full power to give its
politicians a fail or a pass.”
So far, the regional
government of Catalonia, led by Artur Mas and his party, Convergencia i Unió,
has instead restricted its demands to fiscal sovereignty, starting with the
need to convince Mr. Rajoy that Catalonia should be allowed to reduce its
contribution to a fiscal system that redistributes part of the tax revenues to
other poorer regions of Spain. The two politicians are schedule to discuss the
issue at a meeting next Thursday.
But looking ahead to two
regional elections next month — in the Basque Country and in Mr. Rajoy’s home
region, Galicia — the prime
minister is unlikely to strike any deal with Catalonia that could open up a Pandora’s box
of new demands by other indebted regions. He is also trying to turn back a
threatened tax revolt in the Extremadura region, which despite being controlled
by Mr. Rajoy’s Popular Party, said this month that it would only selectively
apply a tax increase decreed by Madrid.
But in Catalonia ’s case, Mr. Mas and his allies are
threatening to escalate the conflict if Mr. Rajoy ignores their fiscal demands.
They have raised the possibility of creating a new Catalan tax agency to
collect money that now flows into Madrid ’s
coffers.
“If no agreement can be
reached with Madrid ,
we will be entering a new period of uncertainty that could be very hurtful for
the whole Spanish economy,” warned Josep Sánchez Llibre, a national lawmaker
from Convergencia i Unió, the governing party.
A fiscal concession by
Mr. Rajoy could go a long way toward deflating the Catalan independence drive.
“A lot of people view
independence in terms of real feelings, but others only in terms of their
wallet,” said Alex Reus, an economist who joined Tuesday’s rally.
Indeed, many Catalans
have far more urgent preoccupations than separatism.
A day after attending
the demonstration, Jordi Iglesias stood in front of a shop owned by Serra, a
company that sells photo equipment, to protest with other employees that along
with him were laid off by Serra at the end of August. Mr. Iglesias is also
facing the cost of renovating an apartment that was damaged by a tenant who had
also lost his job and left without paying Mr. Iglesias three months in rent that
he owed.
“I can’t say that
everybody is setting a good example for Catalonia
in this crisis,” Mr. Iglesias said. “I want an independent Catalonia , but also with clean businessmen
and politicians.”
Mr. Rajoy, unlike his
Socialist predecessor, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, holds a majority in the
national Parliament. That makes it far easier for him to brush aside regional
political demands.
But Jordi Alberich,
director general of the Cercle d’Economia, a Barcelona-based association of
1,500 executives and academics, said that “by trying to remain silent on an
independence issue that is threatening to boil over, Mr. Rajoy risks in fact
fueling the feeling that Catalans are being dominated by a Madrid government
that doesn’t care about their claims, nor even about the pain of all the recent
budget cuts.”
“That,” Mr. Alberich
said, “could turn out to be a dramatic mistake.”
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