(Financial Times) -- Eurozone finance ministers last night postponed agreement on Greece's long-delayed €31.3bn aid payment for
yet another week as divisions between the International Monetary Fund and EU
creditors over how fast Athens
must reduce its burgeoning debt levels burst into the open.
Christine Lagarde, the IMF chief, and
Jean-Claude Juncker, chair of the eurogroup of finance ministers, publicly
sparred over whether Greece
must reduce its debt levels to 120 per cent of economic output by 2020, long
viewed the target to get Athens
back to a sustainable debt level.
An agreement between the IMF and eurozone
governments is essential to releasing the bailout tranche since both creditors
disburse financial assistance concurrently.
In a rare breach, Mr Juncker told a
post-meeting press conference the target would be moved to 2022, prompting Ms
Lagarde to insist the IMF was sticking to the original timeline. When Mr
Juncker again insisted it would be moved -- "I'm not joking," he said
-- Ms Lagarde appeared exasperated, rolling her eyes and shaking her head.
"In
our view, the appropriate timetable is 120 per cent by 2020," Ms Lagarde
said. "We clearly have different views." Officials will meet again
November 20 in an effort to reach agreement, Mr Juncker said.
Despite the delay, officials insisted Greece would not default on Thursday, when Athens must make a debt
payment of about €5bn without the benefit of international aid.
Greece's ability to raise the money on its
own has been cast into doubt after the European Central Bank refused to
increase the amount of treasury bills it would accept as collateral from Greek
banks seeking low-interest ECB loans. Without the ability to use treasury bills
as collateral, Greek banks have little financial incentive to purchase them.
But Olli Rehn, the EU's top economic
official, said even if the ECB did not raise the ceiling of treasury bills it
would accept, Greek banks had improved their cash position enough that they
were expected to purchase the debt anyway, getting over what Mr Rehn termed a
"Greek fiscal cliff".
The Lagarde-Juncker spat was a public
manifestation of a fight that has been simmering behind closed doors for
months. The IMF has insisted the overhauled bailout plan include a credible
debt reduction proposal, which may force eurozone countries to accept losses on
bailout loans.
But European Commission officials believe
the IMF is being overly pessimistic, arguing Greece can grow faster economically
and should be given more leeway to meet debt targets.
According to senior officials, the IMF
believes that without any relief, Greek debt will stand at nearly 150 per cent
of gross domestic product by 2020, while the European Commission believes it
will be just over 140 per cent. Without agreement on the baseline, officials
cannot come up with a debt relief plan, which will involve both eurozone
governments and the ECB giving up cash they had originally been owed by Greece.
If the target is moved to 2022, eurozone
governments will have an easier time formulating a plan, since it likely will
only involve cutting interest rates on bailout loans. Standing firm to 2020 may
require write downs on those loans, something Germany and other creditor
countries have refused to do.
"We started to discuss a certain
number of avenues," Mr Juncker said. "My personal feeling is that
[official write downs] will not be the one that will be privileged."
sourche: http://edition.cnn.com/2012/11/12/business/eu-imf-greek-feud/index.html?eref=edition
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