RESTORING THE BALANCE

Over the past few days we have witnessed a sudden turnaround over the prospect of the Hellenic economy and a well concerted campaign for the salvation of Euro and the Euro-zone itself.

The truth is that both the current financial crisis and the political instability in the broader Mediterranean region have created new data for the retention of peace and stability in Europe and gradually upgrade the role of Hellas as a stabilizing force in it.

The US has lost it’s superiority for good and is afraid that will lose much more from a possible military clash in the region, as Turkey is ready to invade Syria, Israel to invade Iran, the initiative for a Turkey-Israel reconciliation has failed, the Arabs are still living their political spring and the feeble Hellas, a traditional friend of the US, has nothing else to lose from a possible status quo change.

What is coming up next? The American policy in the region has to and will change. Successfully or not we will witness an effort to present the miracle of the Hellenic economy, as well as the re-activation of Hellas as an ambassador of good will in the region and a guarantor of peace and stability in the eastern Mediterranean Sea. 

Historically the US’s policy in the area was to divide and rule, taking simultaneously control of the region’s wealth (see Iraq, Afghanistan, Yugoslavia, Libya). Nonetheless, at this time data have changed. The US is no longer a super-power in a unipolar world, while Turkey and Israel have much more to gain by invading Syria and Iran respectively than by obeying the US’s will.

Strange as it may sound, the US does not wish a war with Iran, especially if the trigger is not pulled by its own hand. Although, the US’s interests may change after the upcoming presidential elections, for the time being the control over Iran’s natural resources is not aimed at any other country, but the US. 

Regarding Turkey, the US never before and not ever will tolerate any country to dominate the region. Of course they always have their favorite in every region to best serve the American interests, but they will not create another “China” in an area of great importance for them. Thus, the US will seek for alternatives to harness Turkey and its ambitions.

The mock financial crisis in Europe did not bring the wishful results for the US and its Lobby in Europe. Much more, it did not move the productive center of the world from Asia to the European South. To the contrary, it brought instability, insecurity, and changed the balance among the states in the broader Mediterranean region.

It is my firm belief, that the US is not willing and is not ready to umpire an extended war in the eastern Mediterranean Sea. After all, there are too many uprising conflicts in the same geographical area for a super-power to handle. Thus, the US will take all the necessary measures to blow out any spark of instability and restore balance among the Mediterranean states.    

BY PANAGIOTIS I. PSYLLOS AND ELPINIKI KARAKOSTA